A group on Reddit inspected the outcome of the divination card by opening themselves or handing multiple stacks to streamers such as mbXtreme or Slipperyjim8.<ref name=reddit/> Based on mbXtreme's video, the outcomes are weighted. Out of 60 sets, he got 4 {{il|Song of the Sirens}} and no {{il|Reefbane}}. The rest were {{il|Fairgraves' Tricorne}}, {{il|Slitherpinch}}, {{il|Rainbowstride}} and {{il|The Writhing Jar}}.<ref name="video" /> Slipperyjim8 got a similar result.<ref name="Slipperyjim8" />
{{il|Angler's Plait}} is an extremely rare outcome from this card, circumventing reward pool restrictions of other cards granting unique items.<ref name="Angler's Plait" />
It is not certain that it is due to weighting, or as the name of the card suggested, "Baiting" the players to expect to get Reefbane. Lastly, some of the fishing items are prerequisites for the quest offered by [[Krillson, Master Fisherman]]. While some of them ''can'' be quest reward of that quest chain.
It is a spread rumor, that {{il|Angler's Plait}} can be an outcome. Angler's Plait can only be obtained corrupted while Baited Expectations can only be redeemed for uncorrupted items. Thus, the ring may be not be able to be redeemed from the card set.
Note that due to smaller sampling size, streamers' outcome may not truly reflect the real probability. poorFishwife's data may be better in term of confidence interval.
Note that due to smaller sampling size, streamers' outcome may not truly reflect the real probability. LuckyDLuck's data may be better in term of confidence interval, but done 3 years later after poorFishwife and streamers' initial experiments.
==Design attribution==
This card has not yet been assigned or the creator wishes to remain anonymous.
==Version history==
==Version history==
{{Version history table header}}
{{Version history table header}}
{{Version history table row|3.16.0}}
{{Version history table row|3.18.0|
* Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert. {{Divcord}}
}}
{{Version history table row|3.17.0|
* Many divination cards that drop in maps now drop in additional map areas. In most cases their existing drop locations have not changed, and those cases have not been patch noted individually. Atlas reshuffles will mean that some of these locations will not be available in any given league, but checks are in place to ensure that every divination card available in maps always has at least one map present on the Atlas.
** Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert Spring (again). {{Divcord}}
}}
{{Version history table row|3.16.0|
* Many Divination Cards have found new homes as a result of the Atlas Changes:
* Many Divination Cards have found new homes as a result of the Atlas Changes:
: Baited Expectations can now drop in the Dry Sea Map.
: Baited Expectations can now drop in the Dry Sea Map.
Stacked DeckStacked DeckStack Size: 20A stack of unknown divination cardsRight click to take a divination card out of the deck.
Random divination card
A
1
The VoidThe Void1Reach into the Void and claim your prize.
Random divination card set exchange
A
Usage in recipes
Baited Expectations is used in the following recipes:
Result
Amount
Part
Description
Meta
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart.
8
Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.
Random fishing item
A
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to BlockSpell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari
8
Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.
Random fishing item
A
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks.
8
Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.
Random fishing item
A
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight.
8
Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.
Random fishing item
A
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death.
8
Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.
Random fishing item
A
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters.
8
Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.
Random fishing item
A
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month.
8
Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.
Random fishing item
A
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks. is an extremely rare outcome from this card, circumventing reward pool restrictions of other cards granting unique items.[1]
Reward statistics
Here is the summary of experimental data and estimated probability
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death.
16/50
32%
32.0%
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight.
14/50
28%
36.6%
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters.
10/50
20%
12.2%
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to BlockSpell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari
4/50
8%
11.6%
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month.
4/60
6.67%
6/50
12%
7.6%
19
0.95%
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart.
0/60
0%
0/50
0%
0%
1
0.05%
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks.
0/60
0%
0/50
0%
0%
1
0.05%
Note that due to smaller sampling size, streamers' outcome may not truly reflect the real probability. LuckyDLuck's data may be better in term of confidence interval, but done 3 years later after poorFishwife and streamers' initial experiments.
Design attribution
This card has not yet been assigned or the creator wishes to remain anonymous.
Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert. [Verified on DivcordThis information has been verified by players on Divcord, the divination card discovery Discord server. Actual undocumented changes to drop locations may have occurred in a previous patch.]
Many divination cards that drop in maps now drop in additional map areas. In most cases their existing drop locations have not changed, and those cases have not been patch noted individually. Atlas reshuffles will mean that some of these locations will not be available in any given league, but checks are in place to ensure that every divination card available in maps always has at least one map present on the Atlas.
Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert Spring (again). [Verified on DivcordThis information has been verified by players on Divcord, the divination card discovery Discord server. Actual undocumented changes to drop locations may have occurred in a previous patch.]