Baited Expectations

Baited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.

Acquisition
Drop restricted
Drop level: 23
Desert Map • Desert Spring Map • Dry Sea Map • Dunes MapVendor Offer
1x Scroll FragmentMetadata
Item class: Divination Card
Metadata ID: Metadata/Items/DivinationCards/DivinationCardBaitedExpectations

Baited Expectations is a divination card. A set of eight can be exchanged for a random unique fishing item.

Item acquisition

Baited Expectations has restrictions on where or how it can drop.

Area restrictions

This item can be acquired in the following areas:

• Desert
• Desert Spring
• Dry Sea
• Dunes

Recipes

Baited Expectations can be created from the following recipes:

Amount	Part	Description	Meta
5	The GamblerThe Gambler5Divination Card"I don't believe in karma. If it were real, I would never win."	Random divination card	A
1	Stacked DeckStacked DeckStack Size: 20A stack of unknown divination cardsRight click to take a divination card out of the deck.	Random divination card	A
1	The VoidThe Void1Reach into the Void and claim your prize.	Random divination card set exchange	A

Usage in recipes

Baited Expectations is used in the following recipes:

Result	Amount	Part	Description	Meta
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to Block Spell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A

Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait
Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed
100% increased Fishing Line Strength
20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught
40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught
(20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing
before he learns it is not fish that he seeks. is an extremely rare outcome from this card, circumventing reward pool restrictions of other cards granting unique items.

Reward statistics

Here is the summary of experimental data and estimated probability

Fishing item	mbXtreme (n=60)	%1	Slipperyjim8 (n=50)	%2	poorFishwife (n≈400)	%3	LuckyDLuck (n=2000)	%4
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death.			16/50	32%		32.0%
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight.			14/50	28%		36.6%
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters.			10/50	20%		12.2%
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to Block Spell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari			4/50	8%		11.6%
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month.	4/60	6.67%	6/50	12%		7.6%	19	0.95%
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart.	0/60	0%	0/50	0%		0%	1	0.05%
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks.	0/60	0%	0/50	0%		0%	1	0.05%

Note that due to smaller sampling size, streamers' outcome may not truly reflect the real probability. LuckyDLuck's data may be better in term of confidence interval, but done 3 years later after poorFishwife and streamers' initial experiments.

Design attribution

This card has not yet been assigned or the creator wishes to remain anonymous.

Version history

Version	Changes
3.18.0	Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert. [Verified on Divcord This information has been verified by players on Divcord, the divination card discovery Discord server. Actual undocumented changes to drop locations may have occurred in a previous patch.]
3.17.0	Many divination cards that drop in maps now drop in additional map areas. In most cases their existing drop locations have not changed, and those cases have not been patch noted individually. Atlas reshuffles will mean that some of these locations will not be available in any given league, but checks are in place to ensure that every divination card available in maps always has at least one map present on the Atlas. Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert Spring (again). [Verified on Divcord This information has been verified by players on Divcord, the divination card discovery Discord server. Actual undocumented changes to drop locations may have occurred in a previous patch.]
3.16.0	Many Divination Cards have found new homes as a result of the Atlas Changes: Baited Expectations can now drop in the Dry Sea Map.
3.9.0	Introduced to the game.