Baited Expectations: Difference between revisions
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|size_y = 1 | |size_y = 1 | ||
|flavour_text = The line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | |flavour_text = The line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | ||
|drop_level = | |drop_level = 23 | ||
|tags = divination_card, default | |tags = unique_divination, divination_card, default | ||
|metadata_id = Metadata/Items/DivinationCards/DivinationCardBaitedExpectations | |metadata_id = Metadata/Items/DivinationCards/DivinationCardBaitedExpectations | ||
|stack_size = 8 | |stack_size = 8 | ||
|description = {{c|unique|Fishing Item}} | |description = {{c|unique|Fishing Item}} | ||
|stack_size_currency_tab = 5000 | |stack_size_currency_tab = 5000 | ||
| | |drop_areas = MapWorldsDrySea, MapWorldsDesertSpring, MapWorldsDunes, MapWorldsDesert | ||
|release_version = 3.9.0 | |release_version = 3.9.0 | ||
}} | }} | ||
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{{Item acquisition}} | {{Item acquisition}} | ||
{{il|Angler's Plait}} is an extremely rare outcome from this card, circumventing reward pool restrictions of other cards granting unique items.<ref name="Angler's Plait" /> | |||
===Reward statistics=== | |||
Here is the summary of experimental data and estimated probability | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" | |||
|- | |||
!Fishing item!! mbXtreme (n=60) <ref name="video" /> !! %1 !! Slipperyjim8 (n=50) <ref name="Slipperyjim8" /> !! %2 !! poorFishwife (n≈400)<ref name=reddit /> !! %3 !! LuckyDLuck (n=2000) !! %4 | |||
|- | |||
| {{il|Fairgraves' Tricorne}} || || || 16/50 || 32% || || 32.0% || || | |||
|- | |||
| {{il|Slitherpinch}} || || || 14/50 || 28% || || 36.6% || || | |||
|- | |||
| {{il|The Writhing Jar}} || || || 10/50 || 20% || || 12.2% || || | |||
|- | |||
| {{il|Rainbowstride}} || || || 4/50 || 8% || || 11.6% || || | |||
|- | |||
| {{il|Song of the Sirens}} || 4/60 || 6.67% || 6/50 || 12% || || 7.6% || 19 || 0.95% | |||
|- | |||
| {{il|Reefbane}} || 0/60 || 0% || 0/50 || 0% || || 0% || 1 || 0.05% | |||
|- | |||
| {{il|Angler's Plait}} || 0/60 || 0% || 0/50 || 0% || || 0% || 1 || 0.05% | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
Note that due to smaller sampling size, streamers' outcome may not truly reflect the real probability. LuckyDLuck's data may be better in term of confidence interval, but done 3 years later after poorFishwife and streamers' initial experiments. | |||
==Design attribution== | |||
This card has not yet been assigned or the creator wishes to remain anonymous. | |||
==Version history== | ==Version history== | ||
{{ | {{Version history table header}} | ||
{{ | {{Version history table row|3.18.0| | ||
* Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert. {{Divcord}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Version history table row|3.17.0| | |||
* Many divination cards that drop in maps now drop in additional map areas. In most cases their existing drop locations have not changed, and those cases have not been patch noted individually. Atlas reshuffles will mean that some of these locations will not be available in any given league, but checks are in place to ensure that every divination card available in maps always has at least one map present on the Atlas. | |||
** Baited Expectations now also drops from Desert Spring (again). {{Divcord}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Version history table row|3.16.0| | |||
* Many Divination Cards have found new homes as a result of the Atlas Changes: | |||
: Baited Expectations can now drop in the Dry Sea Map. | |||
}} | |||
{{Version history table row|3.9.0| | |||
* Introduced to the game. | * Introduced to the game. | ||
|} | }} | ||
{{Version history table end}} | |||
==References== | |||
{{reflist|refs=<ref name=video>{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ychiUe4cNak|title=[PATH OF EXILE] – 60x “BAITED EXPECTATION” – WAIT… WHAT?|date=February 15, 2020|accessdate=February 16, 2020|author=mbXtreme|publisher=Youtube}}</ref> | |||
<ref name=Slipperyjim8>{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jurNW8sqp08|title=Loot from 50 Baited Expectations|date=February 24, 2020|accessdate=February 24, 2020|author=Slipperyjim8|publisher=Youtube}}</ref> | |||
<ref name=reddit>{{cite web|url=https://www.reddit.com/r/pathofexile/comments/f8vzvo/serious_videos_of_loot_from_baited_expectations/|title=[Serious] Videos of loot from Baited Expectations divination cards (unique fishing items)|date=February 24, 2020|author=poorFishwife|publisher=Official Path of Exile subreddit|accessdate=February 24, 2020}}</ref> | |||
<ref name="Angler's Plait">{{cite web | |||
| author = LuckyDLuck | |||
| date = September 25, 2023 | |||
| title = I opened 2000 Baited Expectations this league. Angler's Plait confirmed! | |||
| url = https://www.reddit.com/r/pathofexile/comments/16sa2ws/i_opened_2000_baited_expectations_this_league/ | |||
| publisher = Reddit | |||
| accessdate = September 26, 2023 | |||
}}</ref> | |||
}} | |||
{{Navbox Items}} | {{Navbox Items}} | ||
[[ru:Искушающие ожидания]] |
Revision as of 22:56, 7 January 2024
Drop restricted
Drop level: 23
Desert Map • Desert Spring Map • Dry Sea Map • Dunes MapVendor Offer
1x Scroll FragmentMetadata
Item class: Divination Card
Metadata ID: Metadata/Items/DivinationCards/DivinationCardBaitedExpectations
Baited Expectations is a divination card. A set of eight can be exchanged for a random unique fishing item.
Item acquisition
Baited Expectations has restrictions on where or how it can drop.
Area restrictions
This item can be acquired in the following areas:
Recipes
Baited Expectations can be created from the following recipes:
Amount | Part | Description | Meta |
---|---|---|---|
5 | The GamblerThe Gambler5Divination Card"I don't believe in karma. If it were real, I would never win." | Random divination card | A |
1 | Stacked DeckStacked DeckStack Size: 20A stack of unknown divination cardsRight click to take a divination card out of the deck. | Random divination card | A |
1 | The VoidThe Void1Reach into the Void and claim your prize. | Random divination card set exchange | A |
Usage in recipes
Baited Expectations is used in the following recipes:
Result | Amount | Part | Description | Meta |
---|---|---|---|---|
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart. | 8 | Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | Random fishing item | A |
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to Block Spell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari | 8 | Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | Random fishing item | A |
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks. | 8 | Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | Random fishing item | A |
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight. | 8 | Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | Random fishing item | A |
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death. | 8 | Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | Random fishing item | A |
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters. | 8 | Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | Random fishing item | A |
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month. | 8 | Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine. | Random fishing item | A |
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait
Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed
100% increased Fishing Line Strength
20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught
40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught
(20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing
before he learns it is not fish that he seeks. is an extremely rare outcome from this card, circumventing reward pool restrictions of other cards granting unique items.[1]
Reward statistics
Here is the summary of experimental data and estimated probability
Fishing item | mbXtreme (n=60) [2] | %1 | Slipperyjim8 (n=50) [3] | %2 | poorFishwife (n≈400)[4] | %3 | LuckyDLuck (n=2000) | %4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death. |
16/50 | 32% | 32.0% | |||||
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight. |
14/50 | 28% | 36.6% | |||||
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters. |
10/50 | 20% | 12.2% | |||||
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to Block Spell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari |
4/50 | 8% | 11.6% | |||||
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month. |
4/60 | 6.67% | 6/50 | 12% | 7.6% | 19 | 0.95% | |
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart. |
0/60 | 0% | 0/50 | 0% | 0% | 1 | 0.05% | |
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks. |
0/60 | 0% | 0/50 | 0% | 0% | 1 | 0.05% |
Note that due to smaller sampling size, streamers' outcome may not truly reflect the real probability. LuckyDLuck's data may be better in term of confidence interval, but done 3 years later after poorFishwife and streamers' initial experiments.
Design attribution
This card has not yet been assigned or the creator wishes to remain anonymous.
Version history
Version | Changes |
---|---|
3.18.0 |
|
3.17.0 |
|
3.16.0 |
|
3.9.0 |
|
References
- ↑ LuckyDLuck (September 25, 2023). "I opened 2000 Baited Expectations this league. Angler's Plait confirmed!". Reddit. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
- ↑ mbXtreme (February 15, 2020). "[PATH OF EXILE] – 60x “BAITED EXPECTATION” – WAIT… WHAT?". Youtube. Retrieved February 16, 2020.
- ↑ Slipperyjim8 (February 24, 2020). "Loot from 50 Baited Expectations". Youtube. Retrieved February 24, 2020.
- ↑ poorFishwife (February 24, 2020). "[Serious] Videos of loot from Baited Expectations divination cards (unique fishing items)". Official Path of Exile subreddit. Retrieved February 24, 2020.