Baited Expectations

Baited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.

Acquisition
Drop restricted
Drop level: 1Vendor Offer
1x Scroll FragmentMetadata
Item class: Divination Card
Metadata ID: Metadata/Items/DivinationCards/DivinationCardBaitedExpectations

Baited Expectations is a divination card. A set of eight can be exchanged for a random unique fishing item. It is a continuation of the long running in-joke by Grinding Gear Games about fishing actually being a mechanic within the game. To clarify, there are no known or recorded instances of actual fishing or fish-items in the game.

Item acquisition

Baited Expectations has restrictions on where or how it can drop.

Area restrictions

This item can be acquired in the following areas:

• Desert
• Desert Spring
• Dry Sea
• Dunes

Recipes

Baited Expectations can be created from the following recipes:

Amount	Part	Description	Meta
5	The GamblerThe Gambler5Divination Card"I don't believe in karma. If it were real, I would never win."	Random divination card	A
1	Stacked DeckStacked DeckStack Size: 20A stack of unknown divination cardsRight click to take a divination card out of the deck.	Random divination card	A
1	The VoidThe Void1Reach into the Void and claim your prize.	Random divination card set exchange	A

Usage in recipes

Baited Expectations is used in the following recipes:

Result	Amount	Part	Description	Meta
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to Block Spell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month.	8	Baited ExpectationsBaited Expectations8Fishing ItemThe line between having not enough to do and too much to do is unusually fine.	Random fishing item	A

A group on Reddit inspected the outcome of the divination card by opening themselves or handing multiple stacks to streamers such as mbXtreme or Slipperyjim8. Based on mbXtreme's video, the outcomes are weighted. Out of 60 sets, he got 4 Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens
Fishing RodFishing Rod
Physical Damage: 8-15
Critical Strike Chance: 5.00%
Attacks per Second: 1.20
Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait
(50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught
(50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught
You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day.
But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month. and no ReefbaneReefbane
Fishing RodFishing Rod
Physical Damage: 8-15
Critical Strike Chance: 5.00%
Attacks per Second: 1.20
Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed
Thaumaturgical Lure
(10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught
Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean
And tore out her heart.. The rest were Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne
TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks
70% increased Evasion Rating
+(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance
Cannot be Shocked
You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across
the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death., SlitherpinchSlitherpinch
Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62)
Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity
(5-10)% increased Attack Speed
(60-100)% increased Evasion Rating
0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life
0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night,
that slips about the neck, so tight., RainbowstrideRainbowstride
Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to Block Spell Damage
+(40-60) to maximum Mana
+20% to all Elemental Resistances
20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride.
Some men have a longer stride than others."
- Gaius Sentari and The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar
Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds
Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds
Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery
(75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered
2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used
Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit
(20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us.
Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh.
- High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters.. Slipperyjim8 got a similar result.

It is not certain that it is due to weighting, or as the name of the card suggested, "Baiting" the players to expect to get Reefbane. Lastly, some of the fishing items are prerequisites for the quest offered by Krillson, Master Fisherman. While some of them can be quest reward of that quest chain.

It is a spread rumor, that Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait
Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed
100% increased Fishing Line Strength
20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught
40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught
(20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing
before he learns it is not fish that he seeks. can be an outcome. Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait
Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed
100% increased Fishing Line Strength
20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught
40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught
(20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing
before he learns it is not fish that he seeks. can only be obtained corrupted while Baited Expectations can only be redeemed for uncorrupted items. Thus, the ring may be not be able to be redeemed from the card set.

Reward Statistics

Here is the summary of experimental data and estimated probability

Fishing item	mbXtreme (n=60)	%1	Slipperyjim8 (n=50)	%2	poorFishwife (n≈400)	%3
Song of the SirensSong of the Sirens Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metresSiren Worm Bait (50-40)% reduced Quantity of Fish Caught (50-60)% increased Rarity of Fish Caught You can catch Exotic FishGive a man a fish, and you can feed him for a day. But give a fish a man, and you can feed it for a month.	4/60	6.67%	6/50	12%		7.6%
Fairgraves' TricorneFairgraves' Tricorne TricorneEvasion: (90-117)Requires Level 12, 27 DexAdds 15 to 25 Cold Damage to Attacks 70% increased Evasion Rating +(20-30)% to Lightning Resistance Cannot be Shocked You can be Touched by Tormented SpiritsFairgraves' trusty tricorne accompanied him far across the seas, deep under the ground, and even beyond death.			16/50	32%		32.0%
SlitherpinchSlitherpinch Bronzescale GauntletsArmour: (50-62) Evasion: (80-124)Requires Level 27, 22 Str, 22 Dex+(40-50) to Dexterity (5-10)% increased Attack Speed (60-100)% increased Evasion Rating 0.6% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as Life 0.4% of Physical Attack Damage Leeched as ManaA soft caress in dead of night, that slips about the neck, so tight.			14/50	28%		36.6%
The Writhing JarThe Writhing Jar Hallowed Hybrid FlaskRecovers (120-168) Mana over 5.00 Seconds Recovers (435-609) Life over 5.00 Seconds Consumes (16-18) of 40 Charges on useRequires Level 60Instant Recovery (75-65)% reduced Amount Recovered 2 Enemy Writhing Worms escape the Flask when used Writhing Worms are destroyed when Hit (20-10)% reduced Charges per useTo achieve godhood, they would cast off all that god has gifted us. Mortality, compassion, even the sanctity of flesh. - High Templar VollRight click to drink. Can only hold charges while in belt. Refills as you kill monsters.			10/50	20%		12.2%
RainbowstrideRainbowstride Conjurer BootsEnergy Shield: (36-42)Requires Level 53, 94 Int(15-20)% Chance to Block Spell Damage +(40-60) to maximum Mana +20% to all Elemental Resistances 20% increased Movement Speed"They say that you should take life's troubles in your stride. Some men have a longer stride than others." - Gaius Sentari			4/50	8%		11.6%
ReefbaneReefbane Fishing RodFishing Rod Physical Damage: 8-15 Critical Strike Chance: 5.00% Attacks per Second: 1.20 Weapon Range: 1.3 metres(30-40)% increased Cast Speed Thaumaturgical Lure (10-20)% increased Quantity of Fish Caught Glows while in an Area containing a Unique FishHe cast far into the ocean And tore out her heart.	0/60	0%	0/50	0%		0%
Angler's PlaitAngler's Plait Unset RingRequires Level 38You can catch Corrupted Fish(10-15)% increased Cast Speed 100% increased Fishing Line Strength 20% increased Quantity of Fish Caught 40% increased Rarity of Fish Caught (20-40)% increased Fish Bite SensitivityCorruptedA man can spend his whole life fishing before he learns it is not fish that he seeks.	0/60	0%	0/50	0%		0%

Note that due to smaller sampling size, streamers' outcome may not truly reflect the real probability. poorFishwife's data may be better in term of confidence interval.

Version history

Version	Changes
3.9.0	Introduced to the game.